Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.602474 0.677701 0.762666 0.866569 0.991350 1.137869 1.325172
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.508910 0.600274 0.710801 0.856764 1.048227 1.296478 1.652705
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.449180 0.549183 0.676737 0.855879 1.108844 1.466668 2.038570
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.390466 0.489848 0.621587 0.815341 1.105039 1.544685 2.314998
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.346064 0.443346 0.576458 0.779992 1.099772 1.616684 2.604143
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.324755 0.425434 0.567977 0.795450 1.173415 1.831206 3.228869
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.311297 0.416690 0.570962 0.827898 1.280124 2.131864 4.174012
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.295247 0.402280 0.563358 0.841538 1.356400 2.398180 5.204798
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.280155 0.387706 0.553582 0.849568 1.423434 2.667094 6.439506
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.264048 0.370071 0.536910 0.842831 1.459873 2.880285 7.692911
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.244172 0.344993 0.505706 0.805657 1.426670 2.915929 8.375381
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.234606 0.335536 0.499598 0.814212 1.492640 3.229683 10.503971
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.226504 0.328237 0.497158 0.830934 1.584529 3.667695 13.989874
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.215365 0.315111 0.483347 0.823279 1.618115 3.952151 17.304795
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.206422 0.305012 0.473995 0.823469 1.671492 4.331891 22.377341
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.192998 0.286498 0.447980 0.785659 1.619877 4.324064 24.396764
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.181302 0.270320 0.425177 0.752455 1.575092 4.328842 26.754852
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.176845 0.266330 0.424602 0.767403 1.664788 4.911032 38.632692
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.174647 0.266076 0.430925 0.798423 1.808642 5.837320 65.536416
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.170441 0.261982 0.429505 0.811499 1.903486 6.628957 106.482886
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.165915 0.257034 0.426003 0.819205 1.984272 7.434569 180.507522
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.160227 0.249664 0.417145 0.812848 2.017707 8.010485 288.368976
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.151985 0.237243 0.397381 0.777519 1.944880 7.865763 326.500598